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Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Editorial: 10 terrible tax breaks - USATODAY.com

USA today on 31 May 2011 had a great editorial that described 10 tax breaks that are provided to many different constituencies. Here is a link to the editorial:

Editorial: 10 terrible tax breaks - USATODAY.com

These tax breaks cost the country about 300 Billion in tax revenue and in many ways distort the free-market economy in ways that may hurt the overall economy. They also contribute to the terrible complexity of our income tax laws.

I think these may be the "top 10" breaks -- but I believe there probably a hundred or more "lower value" tax breaks that hide "under the radar" and benefit some small groups of special interest groups.

Sunday, May 29, 2011

The GOP Fights it's own ideas on healthcare

It appears to me that the Republicans are being obstructionist and going against basic Republican principles to fight the new healthcare law. This article in the LA Times explains how the Conservatives and Republicans for decades have tried to require everyone to buy their own health insurance and have proposed bills to do it. Now that we have a law on the books to do just that, the Republicans are backpedaling. It might be because the healthcare law is called "Obamacare" --even though it incorporates many of the ideas the Republicans have tried to sell.

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Are we facing the end of the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage?

At some time, the US mortgage market must change. I believe this article describes only part of the adjustments to come.

Are we facing the end of the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage?

I do believe that Fanny Mae and Freddie Mack have "distorted" the free market, because they have not been able to adjust their terms for the many different situations. One size fits all doesn't work for mortgages.

Mortgage rates should be adjusted depending upon the risk involved in the loan. Yes FICO score and appraisals are a big part of the formula. Loan to value ratios, payment to income ratios and rent cash flow do have a big effect on the risk.

Lenders do have a table of rates that take many of those factors into effect. The length of the loan generally affects the rate -- the longer the term (30 yrs) the higher the risk to the lender, so the interest rate is higher.

However, the dreaded "prepayment penalty" has been "under priced" -- in other words if a borrower opts to accept a prepayment penalty the rate reduction has never been properly priced. If the prepayment penalty option came with a big enough discount, borrowers would opt for it. That would make the marketability of the mortgages much better.

Likewise lenders do not offer a discount for a "recourse loan" vs non-recourse. Most American loans are "non recourse" so that borrowers can walk away from their home and the lender has to recourse to attach the rest of the borrowers assets. I think this increases the risk the lender takes. Why don't they offer a half percentage point discount for "recourse loans" -- of course that would probably mean that all "non-recourse" loan rates would be higher.

Likewise, it appears that people buying a second home get a big break. I believe anyone buying a second home and obtaining a mortgage should be required to get a "recourse" loan that puts all of their assets at risk if they default on the loan.

Psychology: Americans persist in irrational and counterproductive behavior - latimes.com

Why do the right winger's in America continue to push for counterproductive solutions?

Psychology: Americans persist in irrational and counterproductive behavior - latimes.com

Global population: Defusing the population bomb - latimes.com

This is an excellent commentary on the problem of the earth's population.

Global population: Defusing the population bomb - latimes.com